Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.058583 0.066390 0.074366 0.083092 0.092343 0.101829 0.112265
2025-09-21 0.048091 0.059788 0.072289 0.086511 0.102118 0.118611 0.137253
2025-09-28 0.040006 0.053946 0.069426 0.087588 0.108040 0.130125 0.155552
2025-10-05 0.037606 0.053824 0.072330 0.094499 0.119889 0.147678 0.180036
2025-10-12 0.031607 0.048716 0.068891 0.093649 0.122541 0.154630 0.192446
2025-10-19 0.027932 0.045976 0.067863 0.095261 0.127716 0.164173 0.207531
2025-10-26 0.024259 0.042829 0.066023 0.095636 0.131224 0.171633 0.220100
2025-11-02 0.021629 0.040759 0.065295 0.097162 0.135930 0.180344 0.233985
2025-11-09 0.018807 0.038129 0.063639 0.097371 0.138924 0.186955 0.245363
2025-11-16 0.015264 0.034084 0.059860 0.094699 0.138254 0.189126 0.251475
2025-11-23 0.012272 0.030476 0.056398 0.092213 0.137635 0.191216 0.257369
2025-11-30 0.010775 0.029016 0.055739 0.093233 0.141254 0.198278 0.269025
2025-12-07 0.009530 0.027917 0.055634 0.095108 0.146137 0.207109 0.283098
2025-12-14 0.008882 0.027780 0.056892 0.098806 0.153354 0.218817 0.300664
2025-12-21 0.007652 0.026435 0.056298 0.099965 0.157324 0.226582 0.313548
2025-12-28 0.008061 0.028191 0.060317 0.107378 0.169262 0.244033 0.337972
2026-01-04 0.006517 0.025973 0.058274 0.106467 0.170527 0.248466 0.346864
2026-01-11 0.005714 0.025098 0.058193 0.108194 0.175136 0.256953 0.360578
2026-01-18 0.004749 0.023696 0.057203 0.108595 0.177989 0.263255 0.371652
2026-01-25 0.004113 0.022908 0.057123 0.110229 0.182413 0.271474 0.385018
2026-02-01 0.003330 0.021585 0.056088 0.110453 0.184952 0.277330 0.395511
2026-02-08 0.002260 0.019122 0.052993 0.107592 0.183327 0.277930 0.399566
2026-02-15 0.001436 0.016906 0.050122 0.104927 0.181866 0.278664 0.403725